Norm MacDonald is the incumbent New Democrat, he won convincingly in 2005 with a bigger margin than would have been expected. Norm is a former mayor and councilor for Golden.
Mark McKee is the Liberal challenger. He is the former mayor of Revelstoke.
Wilf Hanni is running here for the BC Conservatives, but I do not see him making much difference in the result.
The Greens have not yet nominated anyone, but I expect them to take in around 10% of the vote.
The two main candidates split two of the regions of the riding almost evenly between them. It is the southern end of the riding that will be a big decider in the race. This includes the Invermere area and then down to Kimberley is about 60% of the population in the riding.
I am convinced that the riding is most likely to be held by the NDP again, but with a narrowed margin.
- NDP - 6500
- Liberals - 6000
- Greens - 1200
- Conservatives - 1200
This is a large enough margin that this riding should not come into play. The only thing that might make a difference is if more people choose to come and vote that stayed away in 2005, most of these people are nominally Liberal supporters.